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Weekend Weather update for Laois
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Weekend Weather update for Laois

Forecast for this weekend and coming week for Laois

Friday, 9 February, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS cold and wet for about a week, increasingly unsettled with heavy falls of cold rain, sleet and even snow in some parts, with temperatures 2 or 3 deg below normal. Warming up again around Wednesday but some sources (European model) suggest it will be a bumpy start for the warming trend and there could be a return to chilly weather for several days after a brief spike near 10 C. Other sources still suggest a steady warming trend though.

Latest weather forecast courtesy of Irish Weather Online page

FORECASTS

TODAY further outbreaks of rain only mixing at times with sleet on highest ground, and as the storm weakens somewhat, central counties could begin to have a few dry intervals later on, but an average of 10-20 mm more rain is likely, highs 5 to 8 C.

TONIGHT scattered outbreaks of light rain, chilly, lows 3 to 5 C, foggy in places, and a brief interval of rather strong southeast winds in west Munster closest to a briefly re-energized low starting to move past the south coast overnight.

SATURDAY winds will back around over Ireland from north to northwest or even west 30-50 km/hr; a slightly colder flow will return, and mixed wintry showers could re-develop in bands coming inland from the Atlantic, with temperatures will be 4 to 7 C. These westerly winds will be felt in west Munster earlier as the gradient moves north with the lows. Before that phase begins, an interval of rather variable winds and isolated heavy showers of rain, hail and snow are likely near the low centre(s) as they drift into Ulster.

Forecast courtesy of Irish Weather Online page

SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue breezy to windy and cold with mixed wintry showers and lows -1 to +3 C, highs near 6 C. Winds west to northwest 50 to 70 km/hr. Some icy stretches could develop on higher roads in the inland west and in Ulster.

A slow warming trend should set in by about Tuesday and temperatures could be back up into the 10-12 C range later next week again with intermittent rain as frontal systems pass. As mentioned in trends, this warmer mid-week interval could be a false start if European model overnight is correct, another push of rather chilly air on northerly winds could develop, but other guidance does not develop things in that direction (yet). Various weather models all have fairly equivalent accuracy scores so I tend to look for consensus rather than expecting any one of them to be correct especially when one is going against several, but it can happen that the lone wolf solution turns out correct too.