Weekend Weather
Forecast courtesy of Ireland’s Weather Channel
⚠️STORM RISK RETURNS ON TUESDAY
⚠️SECOND ATLANTIC STORM POSSIBLE IN AS MANY WEEKS
🌦MIXED WEEKEND OF WEATHER IN STORE
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Not long after the passing of Storm Ellen and already the latest weather models are providing us weather forecasters with some beaches as a potential second named storm in as many weeks looks set to develop to our southwest on Monday night, impacting the country through Tuesday with a renewed risk of flooding and damaging winds.
Sharing some similarities with Storm Ellen, what would be Storm Francis (assuming it develops) would emerge as a result of strong temperature differences between the sub arctic and sub tropical Atlantic, with the low pressure system responsible for Tuesdays weather becoming invigorated by a strong jet stream emanating from southern Canada.
On some of the weather models this storm also goes through a process called cyclogenesis, or alternatively named bombogenesis, which is the name given to a storm that deepens rapidly by more than 24 millibars in a 24 hour period. In this particular case some models anticipate that within a 24 hour period this storm is likely to deepen from 1007 hPa to 979 hPa before affecting Ireland.
While there remains significant uncertainties regarding the exact track and even the exact development of this storm given that we are still more than 48 hours away, if the storm evolves as per the weather models then some weather warnings would seem inevitable, with some disruption from strong winds and localised flooding also likely.
In the meantime our weather over the weekend remains somewhat mixed with heavy showers in central and western areas this morning, becoming more widespread for a time before clearing away in the afternoon and evening. Meanwhile tomorrow Sunday will be a drier and brighter day overall though some showers are still likely in parts. Highs both days of between 17-20 degrees Celsius in fresh to moderate westerly winds.
If you have any questions in relation to Tuesday’s possible storm then please feel free to message the page, email me at cathalgnolan@gmail.com or WhatsApp me on 0879723300
With kindest regards,
Cathal Nolan